Will BTC Go Up?

We expect a -80% DROP in BTC (in 2026) …

But before that, BTC at 100,000-179,000$ (peak at the end of 2025)

Why?

Because in April 2024 there is BTC HALVING – a huge event that happens only once every 4 years

And every previous halving has always triggered a Massive 1.5-year Growth of BTC (and the entire market) and a new peak.

Specifically (total halving growth that BTC achieved during the 3-year growth phase – starts from the market bottom, approx. 1.5 years before halving and ended approx. 1.5 years after halving):

• +1900x BTC growth at halving 10 years ago (2013)
• +131x growth 6 years ago (2017)
• +22x growth 2 years ago (2021)

With every previous halving, BTC price (from the day of halving to 1.5 years) Grew 8 to 88x.

8 to 88x BTC Growth (BTC growth exactly from the day of halving to the market peak)

1. Halving 2012: BTC from 13$ to 1147$ – (Nov 2012 to Dec 2013) = 88x growth in 13 months
2. Halving 2016: BTC from 664$ to 19987$ – (Jul 2016 to Dec 2017) = 30x growth in 17 months
3. Halving 2020: BTC from 8580$ to 69040$ – (May 2020 to Nov 2021) = 8x growth in 18 months
4. Halving 2024: BTC from 64,000$ to ?? = if only 3x growth … would mean BTC price 192,000$

And if BTC grew 3x… Altcoins would then make about 6-20x growth.

Now we expect BTC at 100 to 179,000$ .. (and thus also yields X-times higher and thus also miner prices)

Strategy Therefore Is:

1. Buy now at the market bottom (fall 2023 to spring 2024) and mine approx. until the end of 2025
2. At the peak at the end of 2025 Sell Everything (both mined coins and miners X-times more expensive than you bought them)
3. Wait out the entire year 2026, during which everything should Fall again by -80%
4. At the beginning of 2027 at the market bottom buy new (and cheap) miners again 80% cheaper… for the same price you buy 4-5 pcs.

PS: Don’t Miss It!

People wait 4 long years for the market bottom

Next bottom again only in 4 years

Be NOW or then only 2027 !!

What is Halving Actually?

Bitcoin Halving Cycles Graph. Price Development

How the Entire Mining Works?

In the article:

• Where will BTC price be in …
• Connection to mining profits, miner prices
• When is the best time to buy miners / buy BTC and why the Answer Won’t Please You?
• Why do people most like to buy overpriced BTC / miners?
• Why has BTC been growing for 13 years? (and connection with Halving)
• Why does BTC move in 4-year phases (3 years growth and 1 year decline)?
• How to earn up to 3 Different Ways at Once in mining?
• Where is the real key to success in investing in BTC or miners? (how to really squeeze decent money out of it)?

3 Years Growth, 1 Year Decline … Over and Over (already 14 years)

After every 84+% BTC drop (which always lasted 12-13 months), then BTC price always started growing massively (and more precisely always reached a new historical peak in 35-37 months)

After every 84+% BTC drop always subsequently grew: +19 116x / +131x / +22x

Why is it so? Thanks to Halving (which is once every 4 years – therefore cycles also last 4 years (3+1)). Halving event: From this date, half as many new BTC coins will start entering circulation every day than in the previous 4-year phase (BTC scarcity = price grows)

Detailed explanation – below in the article.

Conclusion of the Analysis:

Bitcoin has dropped by almost 80% in the last 1 year and something. A 3-year growth phase should therefore follow. And so if Bitcoin moves as it has moved for the last 14 years (3 years growth, 1 year decline), the next peak should reach BTC at the end of 2025, specifically 90-179 000$ /BTC. And then in 12-13 months drop again by approx. 80%…

How Does BTC Price Affect Mining Profits?

Simple. If today a machine mines 20€ daily, BTC grows 5x, the miner will simply mine 5x more (20×5)=100€ daily.

But watch out for difficulty, which will also grow, so in reality it won’t be 100€ but e.g. 70€ daily. Anyway x-times more than today.

Mining or Exchange?

So not buy BTC directly on the exchange? No, mining standardly earns more.

If BTC didn’t grow even a cent in 5 years, mining earns approx. 60%

Why?

Because a miner costs e.g. 0.3 BTC, but in 5 years it will mine almost 0.5 BTC (already after accounting for halving, difficulty and electricity) – (see mining-calculators).

BTC but should grow 5x, meaning Profit on exchange = 5x; Profit in mining = 8x (5×1.6)

+ Profit from selling used miner

-83% Discount on Miners

A year and something ago, when BTC was at peak, Antminer S19 cost approx. 12 000€, currently costs approx. 2000€ = 80+% price drop (you can buy cheap).

If BTC climbs 5x up, machines will mine 3-4x more, and so machine prices will be 4-7x more expensive.

Used machines will thus sell for approx. 3-5x prices – that’s what we and our clients do.

(13 images, each but talks about the same – and the whole analysis is only about this image)

PS: It’s a so-called logarithmic Bitcoin chart (if you open a regular BTC chart, the price from before approx. year 2017 you will see only as a horizontal line, but in reality there were huge growths and drops and we see them exactly on the logarithmic chart)

1-rainbow chart cycles blockchaincenter.net

If You Don’t Want to Read the Entire Analysis …

(8 pages in 4 bullets)

(5x) Interesting Thoughts from the Article:

1. In April 2020 we successfully predicted BTC growth to 50 000$. It succeeded.
   On the basis of Exactly the Same Analysis now we predict BTC to 90-179k USD in 3.5 years (fall – winter 2025).
2. People Most Like to buy Overpriced miners / overpriced BTC.
   Namely, in Nov 2021, when BTC was at peak (and thus miner prices most expensive), we had up to 630% Higher Number of Orders for miners than it is now, 8 m. later (July 2022), when miners are cheaper on average by 63% and BTC by 71% cheaper.
   The same on the exchange, most people buy when everything grows / case. only at peak. They buy up and thus when it all starts falling they sell in panic down.
   When but markets are at bottom, buys only few. And therefore most lose.
3. Why BTC Price in long-term horizon grows (I)?
   You own a special Car made to Order (only one piece in the world). You decide to sell it (at production price) 40 000€. Although it is only one in the world, but if even after longer time no buyer is found, you must start lowering the price until someone responds.
   If but 10 Interested want to buy it, suddenly you can start an Auction and takes it who offers the most.
   People bid and car price thus grows from 40 to 50, 55, 60 thousand…
   Similarly works also BTC price – limited number only 21 mil. BTC coins but number of buyers grows every year…
   Lots of investors, few Bitcoins… therefore BTC in long-term horizon Doesn’t Fall, Doesn’t Stand, but Grows.
4. Why BTC grows (II)?
   If gold-mining companies tomorrow announced that they reduce Gold Mining by half, what would happen to its price?
   (Yes, it would shoot up)
   And exactly the same production reduction happens also in Bitcoin, and that exactly by –50% after every 4 years (Halving).
   Thus enters circulation still less BTC, but number of BTC investors grows.
   Therefore BTC price at the end of every cycle (4 years) is always x-multiple higher than it was at its beginning
5. How from investment to BTC / miners squeeze really decent money?
   If you buy BTC at 80k and BTC goes to 100k, profit is only 25%
   If you buy BTC at 50k and BTC goes to 100k, although grew by +50k but your profit is only 2x.
   If but you buy at 10k and market goes to 100k, profit is up to 10x
   In 1. case, market grew by 20k, Your Profit is 0.25x.
   In 2. case, market grew by 50k, Your Profit is 2x.
   In 3. case, market grew by 90k, Your Profit is up to 10x
   Disproportion. Use it.
   Don’t invest until markets already grow 2-3 years nor when already grow 1-2 years.
   BTC, or miners buy when BTC is at bottom, in those biggest minuses. That gives you strong fundamental advantages. If market still falls, you are fine because you know that no huge drops probably won’t happen anymore. Further, you don’t have to stress to catch exact peak later – you bought extra low, therefore it’s indifferent to you if you sell BTC at 100k, 97k or 95k. You are calm, make better decisions, have disproportionately bigger profit, you are on top and Hold the Market by the Scruff (not it you)
   That’s all. Just overcome your emotions and buy when markets are so low that no one even barks after Bitcoin.
   That but Will Do only Minority of people who know (not believe, but know) that market will be in 3.5 years at new peak.
   How but find out if market is already at bottom and mainly if it will grow again? Everything in the analysis below.

*note:
13k = 13 000$, 11k = 11 000$ etc ..
Without negative development EUR/USD, miner prices would be cheaper not by 63% but approx. by 69% thus almost 1:1 with BTC drop

Introduction – before Analysis

On cryptocurrencies you can earn / lose 2 ways:

• Purchase / sale (trading)
• Mining

What pays more?

People Don’t Like to Buy Cheap

People don’t like to buy cheap Bitcoin / cheap miners. They most like it properly Overpriced 🙂

Namely, when BTC was at peak (Nov 2021) and miners most expensive, paradoxically then we on miners achieved historically highest number of orders.
Up to +630% more orders than now, only 8 months later (July 2022), when miners cheaper by 63% and BTC by 71%.
Thus miners are cheaper by 63% but number of orders by 84% lower.
Similarly it was in Dec 2018, when BTC was at bottom (drop from peak by -86%), number of orders was lower by 91% (against peak in Nov 2021).
And similarly it is also with BTC on exchange. People Mass Buy only after months of price growth, however few invest when price already 1 year falls. And therefore people lose ..
But Why is it so?

Why do people rather buy Overpriced BTC?

Why people in winter 2018 call that they would want miners, in the end but don’t go into it because everything now falls and doesn’t pay, but in year 2021, when BTC already months grows, again call that they would buy that miner (even though already 4x more expensive)? The same on exchanges when buying cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin meme image – People like to buy overpriced Bitcoin and Overpriced Miners

Mind vs Feeling

Head tells you: If you want to earn, buy cheap, sell expensive. Simple.

Why most people anyway do exact opposite and literally With Joy Pay 4-5-6x More for the same Miner / Bitcoin?

Mind: It’s Cheap, Buy Now. When you buy expensive you can’t earn anymore.
Feelings: Don’t buy, because oh god it’s already 1 year Falling, doesn’t pay. Feelings rather wait when it will again X months grow, then again Get That Great Feeling and only then buy.
So as e.g. in 2020 and 2021, when BTC grew like wild. Got up to 69 040$ in Nov 2021. People from that had great Feeling. It grows already 2 years, beautifully earns, now it is it, now buy and earn (because surely will grow further).
And so You Buy (Because you have from that Good Feeling) even though mind tells you that it’s already a bit late, because prices high, at peak and thus rather already need to sell, not buy …
And so Suddenly Hoop, it not only stops growing, it starts falling. And Trouble is in the World.
On the contrary, now when BTC already 8 m. falls from that they have bad feeling. Doesn’t pay, because everything already three-quarters year falls (so probably will fall further).

They don’t perceive that also miner prices fell and ROI thus didn’t change much.
They don’t know BTC cycles and thus don’t realize that it will go back up and thus that exactly now in biggest drops it pays to buy more.
Buy cheap, sell expensive. So simple. And people anyway Do Exact Opposite. Therefore lose.

So guaranteed way how to lose? Invest according to feelings 🙂

How to earn? Buy according to mind – Buy when it’s cheap (after biggest drops), sell expensive, at peak, when it grows most.

When but will come bottom? When Peak? And Why?
And Why At All should BTC grow again?
How can we be so sure?
All that in cycles analysis …

Cycles Analysis

What Will Be BTC Price?

What will be in Nov 2022?
We expect 10 300 – 13 900$ / BTC

What will be in Oct 2025?
We expect 90 000 – 179 000$ / BTC

*Important: these predictions we express at the time of writing the article (07/2022), but we will further adapt predictions according to current events in the economy, which is one of the most important steps in investing (explained below).

Why so much? And why exactly then?
Because… (read further)

How Could We Estimate…?

… what will be BTC price, gold or other asset in 1-2-3-5-10 years?

Could one of the ways be if we looked at its previous price development?

And searched if in that chart don’t repeat some Same “Patterns” of behavior?

When did BTC price grow? When fell?
How long exactly lasted growth phases? How long decline phases?
At which events this growth started? At which growth ended and decline started?
And if such phases repeated multiple times? Regularly? With same time interval?
Exactly on that is based this Bitcoin Cycles Analysis, which is in crypto-community (among people who are in crypto already several years) very popular.

Why? Because It Works and Earns.

BTC Cycles are very Popular. Why? Because They Work and Earn.

But beginners about it simply don’t know.

They have from where. These long phases of growth and then drop of BTC most notice and realize until they experience them themselves.

Therefore read, so you don’t burn yourself, but on the contrary, know how to Squeeze and Earn from them.

What Was BTC Price Development [from 2009]?

Bitcoin originated 3 Jan 2009 and started at 0$
In Nov 2021 reached 69 040$
When said like this, it seems thus that 12 years only Every Day Grew and that its chart looks like Growing Line.

So of course it is not.

So Bitcoin didn’t develop

Bitcoin in those 12 years moved Rather like Sine Wave. Several-month periods of constant price decline, then again several-year price growth, again decline and so around .. And that in relatively regular intervals.

So Bitcoin moves (waves = cycles)

(real BTC chart from year 2009 with real 3 waves (cycles) find below)

Bitcoin price moves in Waves (Cycles)
And exactly this WAVE (cycle) is that repeating pattern of Bitcoin, which repeats already from year 2009.

And exactly on the basis of development of previous cycles we can more precisely Predict also the next one.

Especially turning points of BTC in next cycle – Next bottom and Next peak.

Analysis namely doesn’t speculate on partial values where will be price in a week, in a month..
Follows only 2 points: Bottom and Peak of entire trend (which are from each other approx. 3 years).
And that’s all you need to know for earning on crypto in medium-term horizon. Only 2 correct trades in the course of approx. 3 years.
The entire Point is in that these cycles so far repeated in relatively regular rhythms:

• Every drop (from peak to bottom) was always in almost same height (-84 to 87%)
• Growth phases also decline phases lasted at every cycle always almost same number of months (35-37 months growth and 12-13 m. decline).

Growth phases also decline phases so far Always Lasted almost Same Number of Months

Yes, so primitive.

Simple but beautifully repeating trend.

But sine wave on chart above looks almost like very perfect sine wave.
You say that so perfectly BTC price certainly didn’t move?
But yes, it did … See real BTC chart below.

Bitcoin Cycles (2009-2025)

From entire this article is most important part this 1 chart.

Captures entire point of cycles.

1 cycle = 4 years
Every cycle consists of growth phase and decline phase (1 year decline + 3 years growth) – see chart above

Cycle Starts at Bottom and Ends at next Bottom 4 years later (see red balls on chart)
Thus Price Bottom → Massive Growth → Peak → Decline → Next Bottom = 1 cycle (4 years)
Every bottom is thus end of one and start of next cycle.
12 years = 3 cycles
In those almost 12 years (from Nov 2010 to July 2022, when we write this article), BTC passed 3 cycles (resp. at the end of third we are just now).

(Bitcoin but originated 3. Jan 2009, why thus we write that from Nov 2022? Namely BTC price after launch in 2009 was 0$, didn’t exist any crypto exchanges where you could buy it and nobody used it either, since almost nobody even knew it. In year 2010 price got to 0.06$, where but stood several months and only in fall 2010 started moving more significantly. That thanks to that originated first crypto-exchanges in the world, where you could buy BTC and sell simply online. And therefore only NOV 2010 (and not JAN 2009) we consider as starting point of cyclic development of BTC.)
In those 12 years thus BTC passed 3 cycles. That means:

• 3x Bottom (red balls on chart)
• 3x Huge growth: BTC growth from bottom to peak (profits at investment) were exactly: 19116x in first cycle, 131x in second and 22x in this third cycle
• 3x Peak (green balls)
• 3x Huge drop: BTC drops were so far exactly: -87%, -84% and in third drop we are currently (so far -71%)

How Long Lasted Each Growth / Decline?

Nov 2010 we consider as start of cycles (“1. bottom”)
37 months later (Dec 2013) arises 1. peak
13 months later (Jan 2015) arises 2. bottom
35 months later (Dec 2017) arises 2. peak
12 months later (Dec 2018) arises 3. bottom
35 months later (Nov 2021) arises 3. peak

12 months later (Nov 2022) arises 4. bottom?
35 months later (Oct 2025) arises 4. peak?
Almost perfectly repeating time intervals.

Every growth (from bottom to peak) so far lasted always 35-37 months.

Every drop (from peak to bottom) so far lasted always 12-13 months.

Every growth so far lasted always 35-37 months. Every drop always 12-13 m.

*PS: number of months is recalculated exactly according to days and subsequently rounded (e.g. 34 months and 24 days in chart we represent as 35 months).

How Long Lasted 1 Cycle (growth+decline)?

12 years, 3 cycles, all growth phases also decline lasted always almost equally long and thus also every cycle (growth + decline) lasted almost exactly 4 years = 48 months (resp. in the end of third we are now)

Exact cycle lengths (see bottom of chart above):

• 1. cycle (growth + decline = 37+13) thus 50 months (thus by 2 months longer than 4 years)
• 2. cycle (growth + decline = 35+12) thus 47 months (thus by 1 month shorter)
• 3. cycle (growth lasted also 35 months and decline phase still ongoing)

Every Cycle (growth + decline) lasts approximately 48 months (4 years)

6x Realizations from the Chart

1. Every new BTC peak is always higher than previous peak
   first peak at 1147$, second at 19987$, third at 69040$, fourth will be at … ?
2. Every new BTC bottom is always higher than previous bottom
   Thus BTC e.g. in 2. cycle grew from bottom 152$ to peak 19987$ and subsequently started brutally falling. However Didn’t Fall to Original Bottom 152$, But “only” to 3130$. Thus always fell only by smaller part than by which in growth phase of that cycle previously grew.
   (in other words: at the end of every cycle is BTC price always higher than was at the beginning).
3. Decline phase (from peak to bottom) so far lasted always 12-13 months
4. 3.1. And at every this drop BTC price fell always by -84 to -87%.
5. Growth phase (from bottom to peak) so far lasted always 35-37 months
6. 4.1. Growing trend gradually weakens (BTC growth in first cycle was huge 19116x, in next already “only” 131x, in next “only” 22x. But even this “weakest” 22x profit in 1 cycle means that from 1000€ after 3 years you had 22 000€ 🙂

Summary:

Every huge Bitcoin Drop was always only Between-stop Before next (even bigger) growth and new (even higher peak)

Our Predictions 2022 and 2025

Today’s estimates when / where exactly peak / bottom happen are not at all so important.

What is thus Important if you want to Earn? (4x)

1. At All Know that Cycles Exist (and how long they last)
   At all know that such cycles (bottoms / peaks) in BTC arise, that they repeat in regular (and not irregular) rhythms. That these cycles don’t last nor month, nor half year, nor year but 4 years. That growth phase doesn’t last 5 nor 7 nor 18 months but 3 years and subsequently is 1 year drop in height approximately -85% …
2. Adapt Estimates on the Go
   When and where will be bottom/peak adapt according to crypto-market development, economy, geo-politics etc.. Do estimate 3.5 years ahead is unnecessary and inaccurate.
3. Buy more already before Bottom, Sell already before Peak
   Realize that exact Bottom / Peak anyway you won’t hit, therefore don’t speculate, don’t play hero… Buy more a bit earlier where you expect will be bottom, sell before point where you expect peak.
4. Do Partial Trades:
   If you want to invest e.g. 20 000€, divide them e.g. to 4 x 5000€ and instead of 1 purchase (BTC or miners) do 4 gradual buy mores.
   First already before where you expect bottom and next according to next price development… (otherwise can happen that price already starts growing and you still have nothing bought more. However at this strategy you will already have bought more at least 25% from total sum). The same at selling at peak.
   Thanks to this strategy You Average Price, from which people in the end come out multiple better than most people who try to estimate exact prices.
   Thanks to averaging people earn X-times more than people who try to estimate exact bottom / peak.

Cycles: Why 4 years? And Why always growth?

Why these cycles repeat exactly Once every 4 years (and not in 5, 7 or 10 years)?
Why is new peak and new bottom always higher than the previous and BTC price thus in long-term horizon grows? Why e.g. in 2. cycle BTC didn’t fall from 20 thousand USD back to 152$ (from where started growing) but fell only to 3130$?
2 questions, 1 answer.

Everything relates to Halving.

What is Halving?

Bitcoin (also overwhelming majority of other cryptocurrencies) has limited amount of coins. At BTC it is exactly 21 Million BTC Coins which ever will exist in the world (neither 1 BTC more nor less).
These BTC coins but weren’t released all at once in year 2009 when BTC originated. This releasing happens Gradually Every Day and is pre exactly planned (when and how many new coins will be when released).
However releasing is not set nor evenly (that every year released e.g. 1 million BTC so after 21 years would be all 21 mil. coins in circulation). At BTC also majority other cryptocurrencies released number of coins every year Degrades and that specifically in so-called dividing phases (from eng. “halving” – division).
What thus is halving?

Halving: Every 4 Years enters circulation Half Less new BTC coins than entered in previous 4 years (see chart below).

*21 mil BTC = total number of BTC which ever will exist in the world.

*Exact halving dates (date from when every day starts entering circulation half less coins than in previous phase):

• 28. Nov 2012 = 1. halving
• 09. July 2016 = 2. halving
• 11. May 2020 = 3. halving
• 02. Apr 2024 (assumed date 4. halving)

*Halving should happen exactly once every 4 years, but exact term depends on mining (on how difficulty changes) and therefore halving mostly happens always a bit earlier, what we see also at previous halvings.
Halving 2016 was in July, next thus should be in July 2020, but happened already in May 2020 (1 month earlier).
Next halving thus should happen in May 2024, but already now expected that will fall approx. month earlier, to April 2024.
First BTC halving was even in Nov 2012, thus second should be in Nov 2016, but happened already in July 2016 (up to 4 months earlier, what related with that BTC network was very small, therefore fluctuations huge).

*On chart where are depicted cycles, are these halving dates marked dark-gray balls.

What growth caused Halving?

From year 2009 (when BTC originated) in the whole world (together) every 10 minutes released always exactly 50 BTC coins. That thus means that in first 4 years (from 2009 to 2012, to date 1. halving) entered circulation 50% BTC coins from total number BTC which ever will exist. (Thus will exist 21 mil. BTC and from that up to 10.5 million released immediately in first 4 years). And BTC price in 1. cycle grew from 0.06$ to 1147$ (19116x) in 37 months, with price peak happened 12 months after halving).
In year 2012 at halving decreased number of newly-released BTC by 50%, thus from 50 BTC to 25 BTC every 10 minutes. Thus in second four-year (2012-2016) in these 4 years totally released 25% BTC coins from total number BTC which ever will exist (21 mil BTC), what is 5.25 mil. BTC. And BTC price in this 2. cycle grew from 152$ to 19987$ (131x) in 35 months, with this price peak happened 15 months after halving.
In year 2016 at next halving again fell number of newly-released BTC from 25 to 12.5 BTC every 10 minutes. Thus in years 2016-2020 totally released 2.625 mil BTC coins (thus 12.5% BTC from total 21 mil.). And BTC price in this 3. cycle grew from 3130$ to 69040$ (22x) in 35 months. With this price peak happened 17 months after halving.
2020-2024 released already only 6.25% BTC (1.3125 mil.) new BTC coins. BTC price in 4. cycle grow XX? multiple?
2024-2028 already only 3.125% BTC new coins …
… and so on until moment when released completely last piece BTC, what comes exactly to year 2141.

Notes:

*What will be after year 2141 (when mined last piece BTC)?

Nothing changes. BTC will further exist, just won’t add new coins (advantage for us because that means even greater scarcity).
Bottom → Halving → Peak
Chronology of events

E.g. cycle no. 2:

JAN 2015 = BTC Bottom
+18 months = JUL 2016, when happened Halving
+17 months = DEC 2017, when happened BTC Peak
1 cycle = 4 years (1 year decline + 3 years growth)

And halving is located approximately in the middle of BTC growth phase
Thus approx. 1.5 years after bottom and approx. 1.5 years before peak
(thus approx. 1.5 years after halving happens BTC peak)

Why Does Halving Cause BTC Growth?

After all enters circulation still less and less new BTC coins however investors (old also new) still buy.

Demand is then greater than Supply, therefore BTC price in long-term horizon grows.

Growing Apples

Due to (thanks to) halving, after every 4 years every day starts arising already only half less new BTC coins.

That is as if apple growers globally worldwide due to still bigger droughts annually grew in same orchard less and less apples.
Grow less, therefore must increase their price.
Similarly it is also with Bitcoin, arises still less BTC coins, therefore price grows …

However that will be only 21. mil BTC coins and that arises still already only less and less coins, this in reality Is Not the Only Reason why BTC grows.

That BTC is only 21 mil. coins still doesn’t mean that BTC price must grow.

Why?

Because:

What is set price of anything (from apples in store to stocks price on exchange)?
Not only supply. But SUPPLY also DEMAND
Because ..

Custom Car

You can have custom built special own car with luxury design and top parts (no brand, simply only firm which you completely from basis assemble completely new and unique car), which thus will be One Only in the World.

After few months you say that you want to sell it and price set at 40 000€.

What situations can happen?

ZERO INTERESTED: If this your product of fantasy (atypical body shape, atypical parts combinations, interior .. ) nobody understands (nobody will like it) and no buyer found, is although nice that it’s only one piece in the world (limited supply), but market value of car will be simply 0€ because Nobody Wants to Buy It. You must therefore lower price until first interested respond.
ONE INTERESTED: If at price 40k found One Buyer and also after longer time no next responds, you sell it to him for 40 000€ (case. negotiate small discount). Market value of car thus reached 40 000€.
TEN INTERESTED: If but on ad apply Multiple Serious interested, suddenly you can start Auction. Who offers Most, To Him you Sell It. Interested bid and price thus grows from 40 thousand to 50-55-60 thousand euros. That not you (seller), that the buyers themselves increased the price (market value) themselves.
Car is only one, but interested multiple. Therefore who offers most, to him you sell it. Buyers bid and car price grows. Exactly similarly works also BTC price on exchange. Lots of interested, few Bitcoins.

Thus you can have unique car (only one piece in the world) which but if nobody wants to buy, its value is anyway 0.

Thus not only limited supply but must exist also demand (interest in what you sell) and this demand must be higher than supply, Only Then Price Grows.

Neither Bitcoin grows only because exists limited amount BTC.
Grows because exists limited amount BTC, AND AT THE SAME TIME because demand after those Bitcoins is higher than supply.
If would be after Bitcoin lower demand than supply, price would be at the end of every cycle lower than at its beginning.

What is thus Supply / Demand after BTC?

BTC supply is limited (21. mil. coins), that we already know.

What is but demand? How many people want to buy BTC / resp. what amounts (in this minute, for 1 whole day, for 1 year etc..)?

And how to find out?

E.g. from number of newly-established BTC wallets of largest crypto-wallet in the world?
Of course yes.
In last 1 year grew number of new crypto-wallets from approx. 74 to 83.5 million, what is +13% growth (see link above).
From year 2012 when wallet originated, number annually grows (in extremes e.g. up to +90% Annually as in year 2017).
This is but only one from tens data and stats which point to growing demand after cryptocurrencies (number of newly arising exchanges, amount of money inserted on exchanges from clients, number of institutional investors who enter crypto .. )
But especially largest and clear proof is the BTC price itself.

BTC price grows because demand after BTC is greater than BTC supply (if compare e.g. price at beginning and end of every cycle).

If would be demand lower, also BTC price would be in every cycle lower, price is but always higher.

BTC price grows because demand after BTC is greater than BTC supply.

Supply thus limited, Demand but grows = therefore BTC price .. yes grows.

And at the end … one beautiful example from real life why BTC price grows.

Tomorrow Reduce Gold Mining by 50%

In last 10 years in the world mined approximately 440 Tons Gold annually (real data).

Mining companies thus mine 440 tons and these 440 tons annually also annually buy off producers of electronics, jewelry, mints …

What if but mining companies worldwide tomorrow announced that reduce gold mining to half?

What would happen to gold price?

Yes, Would Shoot Up …

But why?

Because demand is still the same (buyers want still buy off 440 tons gold annually).
But supply (how much mining companies mine per year) suddenly fell from 440 to 220 tons annually.
Big interest, little gold. Therefore gold price would rise approx. 2x.
Also BTC Mining after 4 y. Reduce by 50%
The same happens with Bitcoin.

Just here we know exactly when “production” of Bitcoin decreases (always after 4 years) and we know also by how much (always exactly by half).

And moreover … Demand after cryptocurrencies is not annually the same.

Demand namely annually grows. Add new people who want to buy their first crypto and also buy more also old investors

Bingo. Therefore Bitcoin price in long-term horizon grows.

Still more investors, few Bitcoins.

So answers to 2 questions from above:

Why cycles repeat always after 4 years? Because halving happens always after 4 years.
Why is price at the end of every cycle higher than was at the end of previous and BTC price thus in long-term horizon grows? Because will exist only 21 mil. BTC coins and even though BTC still mines and still enter circulation new coins, this number after every 4 years falls by half. Thus enters circulation already only less and less new BTC coins, but on the contrary number of investors who want those new BTC buy annually grows.

PS: Will exist only 21 mil. BTC, however .. :

In the world is 7.9 billion people.
5.03 billion people has access to internet and thus theoretically could buy BTC. Of course quantum people doesn’t have spare money for any investing or money has but doesn’t invest at all, case. invests but doesn’t want to invest to BTC.
Even if we thus didn’t count with 5 mld but only fraction e.g. with 1 billion people who really could in next 10-20 years buy BTC, Bitcoin is anyway only 21 mil coins (buy BTC not only as investment but e.g. as means for simpler and faster money transfers between countries)
And if every in the world owned only 1 BTC, would reach only 21 million people. We here but have 1 billion potential investors (47x more). Thus BTC growth potential 47x?
Not to mention that already today:

Already today also ordinary medium large investors (of which is quantum and quantum) own several ks Bitcoins.
Already today large investors own tens Bitcoins.
And Not to mention that huge multinational corporations which invest to BTC own thousands Bitcoins. Thousands.
Lots of investors, few Bitcoins.

[data in article published to day: 20.7.2022]

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We are not trading advisors. Information in this article also on entire web are exclusively informational character and don’t represent financial, investment nor other advice. Everyone decides according to own consideration and own research. We bear no responsibility for your possible financial losses at investment to cryptocurrencies, miners on cryptocurrency mining or on other markets. Cryptocurrency prices also profits from mining change every day and depend on amount of variables. Depicted assumed miner profits depend also on mining difficulty growth and it’s our assumed profits which miners should reach.